Reducing the Impact of Disasters Through Education
State Information

Situation

 

 August 17, 2015

Atlantic/Caribbean

There have been two named storms in the Atlantic Basin so far this year. The first named storm, Ana, made landfall on North Carolina's Oak Island as a tropical storm with maximum winds of 60 miles per hour. Tropical Storm Bill was named on June 16 and made landfall on Matagorda Island, Texas with maximum winds of 60 miles per hour.

Last year's Tropical Storm Arthur is reportedly the first hurricane to make landfall on the 4th of July, and it was for Arthur that NHC introduced its Storm Surge Forecast Tool. The tool, when active, is available at http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at1+shtml/210553.shtml?inundation#contents

This Google Map-based surge graphic allows viewers to choose specific locations and drill down to the street level. It provides surge forecasts in the-foot bands. Look at the bottom of the NHC Storm Surge tool page for their feedback form. We will be interested in how this tool works for educating and motivating people in the path.

Important note from the NHC Experimental Map site:

This EXPERIMENTAL map should only be used as a general guideline for understanding where storm surge flooding could occur given the current forecast situation. Regardless of what this map shows, always follow evacuation and other instructions from your local emergency management officials.

This EXPERIMENTAL map depicts the potential flooding that could be produced from storm surge during a tropical cyclone. Storm surge is water from the ocean that is pushed onshore by the force of the winds. Flooding from storm surge depends on many factors, such as the track, intensity, size, and forward speed of the tropical cyclone and the characteristics of the coastline where it comes ashore or passes nearby. These factors are difficult to predict far in advance of a hurricane affecting a particular area. This map uses the best information available at the time it is issued, including uncertainties in the track, intensity, and size forecast. It includes many assumptions and has limitations, and it cannot tell you what amount of flooding will definitely occur at any given location. Conditions and the forecast can change and will be reflected on this map with each new full NHC advisory (but not special advisories). The actual areas that could become flooded may differ from the areas shown on this map. This map accounts for tides, but not waves and not flooding caused by rainfall.

 

Pacific

NOAA's May Eastern Pacific hurricane season forecast was for an above-normal season. El Nino is the main climate factor.  The forecast estimates a 70% chance of occurrence for:

  • 15-22 named storms
  • 7-12 hurricanes,
  • 5-8 major hurricanes

For real-time Pacific information, follow these links

 

 



Resource Requests and Response Notes 

Requests for assistance for the 2015 season will be posted on the Hurricane Current Requests page. None have been received yet.

Requests from prior seasons are moved to the Resources Collected page.

If you are participating in hurricane response and recovery efforts, including assisting Extension in affected states, please send in a Response Note.
Select Hurricanes 2015 as the event name.


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Facts and Tracking 

Watch the National Hurricane Center Forecast RSS feed at the bottom of this page for NOAA warnings and a look at emerging systems.

Visit FEMA to find Presidential declarations.

NOAA's Quicklook shows the predicted 5-day track and warning cone, the potential extent of tropical storm force winds, hydrographs for the tide stations that would be within the potential-impacted area, and the current National Hurricane Center advisory information (text format, under “Storm Analysis”).

StormPulse.com: EDEN has previously used and referred users to the free, private (non-governmental) Web site "StormPulse.com" to obtain interactive, graphic presentation of data from NHC and several other sources. In 2012, the providers of this site converted it to a commercial subscription service. StormPulse is providing free access to the site for educators. Use this link to apply:  https://stormpulse.wufoo.com/forms/stormpulse-for-educators/ 


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EDEN Helps Now! 

When a disaster strikes, EDEN delegates help their colleagues in the affected state(s). We will update this section as details become available.


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Last Updated:8/17/2015 10:15 AM
 

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